Tuesday, March 20, 2012

Guest Blogger: The Mets Will Win the NL East in 2012

The Mets will win over 90 games this year and take the NL East.

Yes, I can assure you this is a serious blog post and not some kind of Swiftian satire. Now, I'll give you a few moments to stop laughing before we continue.

Reason 1: The Mets are far more talented than pundits give them credit for. I'm amazed that supposed baseball experts seem to think the Mets have such a  bad team. They have multi-time all-stars at third base and left field, up-and-coming stars with 30-hr potential at first and in right field, a guy who hit .320 last year playing second, a two-time Cy Young award winner and the greatest pitcher of all-time (RA Dickey.) Fun fact: The Mets scored more runs than the Phillies last year. It's true, you can look it up. And that's in a year where everything went wrong. Which brings me to my second point…

Reason 2: The Mets will have an awesome offense this year. Last year we had Ike Davis for 1 month, David Wright on the DL for two months, half a year of Beltran and a complete no-show from Jason Bay. Now, certainly there will be a dropoff from Reyes to Ruben Tejada (though not as big as people think) However, that will be offset by healthy seasons from the aforementioned players, plus (the big x-factor) the walls moving in at Citi Field. That decision will be the catalyst for Bay's upcoming 35-hr, 100-rbi campaign, and Wright's MVP season.

Reason #3: The Mets will have a very good pitching staff. People have already written off Johan Santana because of his injuries, but have you been paying attention this spring? Santana has been sharp, and reporting no ill effects due to injury. Santana will regain his place as one of the best pitchers in the league this year, winning at least 18 games. RA will be his usual stellar self, with an ERA between 3 and 3.50. And most importantly, Jon Niese will make "The Leap." He had some flashes of brilliance last year, but this year Niese will put it all together and become a bona fide #2. I believe Dillon Gee will win 12-15 games. Pelfrey will still be mediocre, but that's ok, because he is a number 5 starter and can be easily replaced.

Well, there you have it. The Mets will win the NL East this year and remember, you hear it here first.


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