Tuesday, February 28, 2012

Mets over/under odds

Right now the Mets over/under for the season is 70.5 games. I definitely like the over here. The Mets won 77 games (our Pythagorean wins was 79, so we actually got a little unlucky) in 2011, even subtracting Reyes WAR we would still have been over 70.5. I think that besides losing our best player, we are not much worse than last year, so any projection should have us over that number. This is a good bet for gambling Mets fans.

* Pythagorean win/loss is defined by baseballreference.com as:
Pythagorean winning percentage is an estimate of a team's winning percentage given their runs scored and runs allowed. Developed by Bill James, it can tell you when teams were a bit lucky or unlucky. It is calculated by

               (Runs Scored)^1.83
---------------------------------------------------------
 (Runs Scored)^1.83 +  (Runs Allowed)^1.83

2 comments:

  1. This will be way over, Mets will win 95

    Reply
  2. Yes I agree, I am considering making a bet on them to win the world series which I have seen at 10000-1.

    Reply